Expert CFB Locks, Predictions for Georgia vs.Alabama and Week 6's Biggest Games
For those in search of a weird, chaotic week of college football, look no further.
For those in search of a weird, chaotic week of college football, look no further.
All of the ingredients are in place for Week 6. This theme extends up and down the odds board.
Translation: prepare for upsets. Lots of 'em.
In the SEC, we've got our eye on Alabama-Georgia, with the impending weather. In the Big Ten, we want to see what the defending national champions have in store for their first meaningful road trip of the year.
Given our performance last week (finally), we welcome the possibility of chaos with open arms.
We're heating up. A solid winning week could have been even better, although we won't complain about the results. Instead, we're hoping to build on it moving forward.
The game itself is blanketed in intrigue, although there's a lot to unpack first.
A tropical storm in the gulf has put this game squarely in jeopardy. By the time you read this, this football game may or may not still be on the schedule, which is a very simplified way of explaining a very complicated situation.
Still, for now, we're breaking it down. Of course we are. It's Alabama vs. Georgia.
The numbers say this will be a magnificent football game. They also tell us that the scoreboard will stay busy, although the conditions could have a say in that.
Presently. Georgia has the nation's No. 1 scoring offense. Alabama, which has faced better competition through five weeks, is No. 3.
As for the competition, Georgia has certainly seen the level of competition pick up of late, dominating Oklahoma and most recently Vanderbilt. Alabama has scored at least 45 points in every game this season. The Crimson Tide just dropped a cool 56 points on Mississippi State.
The quarterbacks for both teams are spectacular. Alabama's Keelon Russell and Georgia's Gunner Stockton have combined to score15 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions.
There's a bit of volatility to Alabama's playing style, which could work for or against this team. The first half against Mississippi State was turnover-centric, and that's certainly a concern while playing against a team as good as Georgia.
But this volatility also amounts to explosiveness, and Russell is showing the ability to take over a game more than any player in college football not named Jeremiah Smith.
Again, we hope this game is played. We also hope everyone is safe. We're taking Alabama and keeping our eye on what happens next.
Let's be brutally honest for a moment, shall we?
The level of competition these two teams have faced through five weeks of football is frankly alarming. Neither opponent has faced a ranked team, although Indiana's win over Northwestern, which looked iffy at the time, looks solid a few weeks later.
With that acknowledged, it's safe to say we are processing both teams.
Indiana is, well, Indiana. The pieces are still coming together, though the talent level clearly isn't what it was last year. That doesn't mean this team can't be good—we liked them enough to pick them here.
Last week, even against Rutgers, the pieces looked better. Quarterback Josh Hoover was efficient, running back Turbo Richard was explosive and the defense was solid.
Playing on the road this week won't be easy, especially in an environment that should be overflowing, but Curt Cignetti has proven just how much of a difference his presence can make.
Slowing down Nebraska QB Anthony Colandrea won't be an easy assignment. He threw for three touchdowns and ran for 108 yards last week, which will give Indiana plenty to think about.
Still, the Hoosiers are proven. They've played in tough environments before. Perhaps this is the week Nebraska finally breaks through, although it feels like a tall task.
There's a theme that has carried through the SEC over the past month.
Win a big game, celebrate said big win, and then lose horribly the following week. Ole Miss knows how this feels. Now, Florida does, too. Missouri, coming off an absolute throttling of the Gators, will have to shake off that success and take on a rejuvenated Texas A&M group.
Granted, the Aggies just played Arkansas. Given the state of that program, they'll essentially rejuvenate every team they play. (Sorry, Arkansas fans.)
Still, given A&M's up-and-down play this season, this spread feels a little light. Given how superb the Tigers looked this weekend, they're likely to be a very public play.
Speaking of ups and downs, enter Marcel Reed. While his improved play came against an inferior opponent, the game plan worked. Quick throws, keep him moving and don't ask him to do too much. That's the formula.
As for Missouri, let's not lose perspective. The prior week, we saw the Tigers collapse against Mississippi State late. That's not to diminish anything that was just done; it's merely to provide some perspective of how quickly things can change.
Football hangovers work in mysterious ways. Sometimes, a massive win can result in a deflating next game. Sometimes, an emotional week (and loss) can linger longer than expected.
That brings us to Iowa, which put a lot of emotion into its game against Ohio State. ESPN's College Gameday visited the school for the first time in two decades. The hoopla surrounding their matchup against the Buckeyes felt real.
The Hawkeyes hung around for a while. Eventually, however, Jeremiah Smith and overall talent took over.
Now, Iowa must travel cross-country for a Friday night game, which feels like a recipe for trouble.
Granted, Washington hasn't exactly performed up to expectations. Back-to-back losses to Minnesota and USC have this team reeling. The Huskies didn't exactly overwhelm the competition in the three prior wins.
Quarterback Demond Williams Jr. still produced a few jaw-dropping plays in the loss to the Trojans. He's more than capable of producing enough offense.
With a total that is likely to hover around 41, don't expect an offensive surge. Iowa has struggled on that front lately. It doesn't bode well for a road trip like this.
Over the past few weeks, P.J. Fleck has been a content machine. He's also won two very important football games, beating Washington, which we discussed, and Michigan.
Suddenly, an ugly loss to Mississippi State feels like a distant memory.
Despite the last few wins, the oddsmakers aren't as convinced. Or perhaps they're giving Purdue plenty of credit despite a 2-3 record. As they should.
When you look at the Boilermakers' schedule, it makes sense. The three losses came against Wake Forest, UCLA and Notre Dame. All three teams have shown plenty of positive signs thus far.
Purdue also just beat Illinois on the road, winning outright as nearly a double-digit underdog. Quarterback Ryan Browne has been a nice surprise thus far, throwing for eight touchdowns and just one interception.
In many respects, this one is a product of both competition and timing. While Minnesota has been playing well, this is a tricky road trip before a bye after two absolute thrillers.
Expect the Boilermakers to take full advantage and win outright as a small underdog.
To be clear, this football game has a high probability of being grotesque.
The total has dipped below 40. It's not hard to see why. For as much offense as we'll see in Alabama-Georgia, this one could feature quite the opposite.
Oklahoma is currently No. 109 in scoring offense. Things have been bleak lately. In the past three games, the Sooners have scored 29 points. Granted, two of those games came against Georgia and Michigan—two outstanding defenses. But that disclaimer only goes so far.
By comparison, Texas has been better. Still, the Longhorns are No. 55 in scoring offense. The many talented pieces on that side of the ball haven't exactly gelled. Despite that, Texas still has impressive wins over Ohio State and Tennessee.
That brings us to this matchup, which will be played on a neutral site, surrounded by fried food. Both teams enjoyed a bye last week, which likely meant more for Oklahoma given its current state.
One week isn't enough time to cure John Mateer's woes, although it can't hurt. The offense has to be better, as running the football will certainly help. It'll be difficult to do so consistently against this Texas front, although that thought will work both ways.
The end result will be a slog of a football game that Texas will ultimately win to stay unbeaten. Oklahoma, however, will do its part to keep it ugly enough.
On the topic of point spreads that grabbed our attention, enter Utah State. The spread seems off, but consider the following. The Aggies have already played road games at Washington, Utah and Boise State.
With QB Mason Heintschel out for the year, Holden Geriner will take over for Pittsburgh. That's certainly a big deal, although North Carolina is quietly playing significantly improved football, no matter what the record says.
We faded West Virginia last week at Iowa State, which resulted in a push. Despite how well Arizona played against unbeaten Cincinnati, this feels like a tricky road trip against an offense that can move the ball.
To say Georgia Tech has played underwhelming football would be an understatement. Let's not forget, however, that Duke struggled against a struggling Illinois team earlier in the year. This one will be tight.
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