2026 election forecast update: Democrats gain ground in House, Senate stays tight

Democrats have strengthened their position in the race for the House , but control of the Senate remains firmly up for grabs , according to the latest Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) forecast.

Which House seats are most likely to flip ? Plus, a look at whether the data backs Republican Senate hopeful and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s reported private assessment of the GOP midterm convention .

Join The Hill’s senior vice president of editorial content, Bill Sammon, and DDHQ’s chief elections analyst, Geoffrey Skelley, who will break it all down and take your questions.