The Betting Trends Shaking Up The NFL After Three Weeks

Who saw this coming? Week three in the NFL was supposed to be the week that we could look at and say, "Ok, I know who is good and who isn't." That can't be further from the truth. Chaos rules and we should have seen it coming. I mean last Thursday night practically screamed at us. It's overreaction time in the NFL witha betting slant and boy do I have an abundance of them.

Las Vegas is undefeated. Cleveland is tied for first in their division. Houston and New England are in disarray. Seattle lost to Washington (without Jayden Daniels ). What is going on? Well, a few things as I see it.

Let's give credit to new coaches in certain places. Cleveland, Las Vegas and Arizona have completely changed their culture (I know that's a tired cliche, but it works). Las Vegas came back from a 11-point second half deficit to win on the road in New Orleans . Cleveland kept their composure and won late against Carolina. Arizona played Sam Francisco tough before falling short. John Harbaugh has something cooking in New York….maybe. Call it parity, call it the cyclical nature of the NFL. It's just their turn.

The schedule also is in play. Las Vegas has had a fairly easy schedule thus far. Sunday was a step up and they passed that test. Their defensive front is legit. They rattled a usually unflappable Tyler Shough and seized control of a game they were behind by double digits in. That's the mark of a good team. Cleveland has played two teams from the NFC South. That's enough to pad anyone's record. The South is absolutely dreadful.

You can chalk up Seattle losing to the odds. No one goes undefeated and almost everyone loses one they're supposed to win. Ditto Cincinnati , although I see problems with their defense (I thought they were markedly improved). Houston and New England are the big questions. The Texans have been competitive but they're not benefitting from a tough schedule at the beginning. New England looks just dreadful. Maybe the Vrabel drama affected everyone? Can't say for sure but this team in no way resembles the AFC Championship squad from a year ago.

Updated playoff odds: Las Vegas +165 Cleveland +500 New York Giants +350 New England -110 (really???)

Two games I saw today have me scratching my head. The Las Vegas Raiders turned up the defense and took one away from New Orleans. Or should I say, Kellen Moore couldn't see what was in front of him and called a terrible game. The Saints offense was predictable and unimaginative. Tyler Shough was a sitting duck in the pocket. He's mobile and can make off schedule throws when it all breaks down. That's when he's at his best. Moore gave him no option. He's supposed to be the next great offensive mind. Sunday he wasn't.

The Los Angeles/San Diego Chargers are in the same boat. Jim Harbaugh has turned Justin Herbert into a backup. The Chargers had the ball with the lead in the fourth quarter and Harbaugh put Herbert in positions to turn the ball over, which he did. In the red zone of all places too. These head coaches outsmart themselves sometimes. Let the players do what they do best. It's not always a chess game. Harbaugh and Moore are playing checkers. And they suck at it.

Updated playoff odds: New Orleans +105 Los Angeles Chargers +500

We know who the Super Bowl contenders are

It's a short list. Buffalo and Kansas City have already separated themselves in the AFC. Baltimore , Jacksonville, Cincinnati will be in the mix. In the NFC, it's Seattle and San Francisco . With the possible exception of Philadelphia nobody else looks like a serious contender. Keep an eye on Minnesota though. They won again despite losing Justin Jefferson early. Of course, they were playing Tampa Bay. Goodness the South is awful.

Super Bowl odds: Buffalo +650 Sam Francisco +900 Seattle +1100 Kansas City +1100

My final four as of today. It can and will change because in today's NFL the only thing for sure is nothing's for sure.