India vs. Sri Lanka live win probability, score, chances of victory for Asian Games women's cricket final 2026

India and Sri Lanka are meeting in the Women's Asian Games cricket final for the second successive edition, making Tuesday's gold medal contest at Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin, a direct repeat of Hangzhou 2023, the match India won to claim the title three years ago.

India beat hosts Japan by eight wickets in the quarter-finals, and then swept Bangladesh aside by 114 runs in the semi-finals to secure their place in the decider.

Sri Lanka have been equally convincing as they picked up an 86-run win over Malaysia in the quarters, which was followed by an eight-wicket thrashing of Pakistan in the semi-finals.

Shafali Verma arrives in the final in exceptional form, while Smriti Mandhana, Shree Charani and Deepti Sharma the other star performers.

This also marks the second time this month that India and Sri Lanka are contesting a continental final, as they met in the Asia Cup final in Dubai less than 10 days ago, with India winning comfortably by 72 runs after Mandhana and Shafali scored fifties.

Sri Lanka's challenge centres almost entirely on captain Chamari Athapaththu, who has been the tournament's standout player with 146 runs in just two innings and three wickets.

India vs. Sri Lanka Asian Games 2026 women's cricket final live updates and toss result

Toss: India Women have won the toss and have opted to bat

India vs. Sri Lanka Asian Games 2026 women's cricket final: Playing XI

Sri Lanka Women (Playing XI): Imesha Dulani, Chamari Athapaththu(c), Hasini Perera, Harshitha Samarawickrama, Kavisha Dilhari, Hansima Karunaratne, Kaushani Nuthyangana(w), Mithali Ayodhya, Kawya Kavindi, Chamudi Praboda, Sugandika Kumari

India Women (Playing XI): Smriti Mandhana, Shafali Verma, Gunalan Kamalini, Harmanpreet Kaur(c), Richa Ghosh(w), Bharti Fulmali, Deepti Sharma, Shreyanka Patil, Shree Charani, Nandani Sharma, Kranti Gaud

India vs. Sri Lanka Asian Games 2026 women's cricket final : Win percentage

India vs. Sri Lanka Asian Games 2026 women's cricket final : Betting odds

India are the favourites to win this match at 1.06 on Dafa , while the odds for Sri Lanka to win are 7.00.

* Odds are correct at the time of publish but subject to change.