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The Data Dive: Steve Kornacki on how Kansas became a surprise midterm battleground

It’s been nine decades since Democrats won a Senate seat in this deep-red state. But there are signs that GOP Sen. Roger Marshall has a fight on his hands.

· 93 words
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton.
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton.

Welcome to The Data Dive, your subscriber-exclusive newsletter about the most consequential elections of the midterms. Every Tuesday morning, I’ll focus on the numbers, trends and data shaping the biggest stories heading into Election Day. I’ll also dig into the 2026 battlegrounds that will determine control of Congress — one district, one county, one city and maybe even one precinct at a time. Today, I analyze the race for the Senate in Kansas and where Democrats must drum up support to finally win after a 90-year drought. Let’s dive in. What I’m watching

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Tuesday, October 6, 2026

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