Micron Price Targets Are Rising - Bull Put Credit Spreads in MU Are Attractive for Investors with Limited Funds
Analysts keep hiking their revenue forecasts for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), as well as their price targets. For investors with limited funds, one attracti...
Analysts keep hiking their revenue forecasts for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) , as well as their price targets (PTs). I previously discussed shorting out-of-the-money puts, which has been successful.
However, as this requires a lot of capital, for investors with limited capital to invest in MU, say $10,000, one attractive play is out-of-the-money bull credit spreads. This article will describe how to play MU as it rises this way.
MU closed at $1,106.59 on Friday, Sept. 4, up 6.10%. The chart below from Barchart shows that it may be breaking out of a recent slump. However, it's still below the June 25 peak of $1,211.
I discussed its higher price targets (PTs) in my last 2 Barchart articles: " Micron Technology Puts Have High Yields for Short Sellers Even With MU Stock Higher" (Aug. 21), and " Analysts Keep Hiking Micron's Revenue and Price Forecasts - Shorting MU Puts Works Here " (Aug. 14).
I showed that MU stock could be worth $1,909.16 (PT) using analysts' revenue forecasts ($239.84b for FY Aug. 2027), a 45% adj. FCF margin, and a 5.0% FCF yield metric. Yahoo! Finance had a $1,501.98 PT.
(Last quarter it made a 44.1% adj. FCF margin, as I showed in my June 26 Barchart article after the company's June 24 FY Q3 release for the quarter ending May 28).
Since then, analysts have hiked their revenue forecast to $241.08 billion. So, using the same model, MU stock could be worth 89% more, or $1,921.35 per share (PT). Here's why:
$241.08b x 0.45 FCF margin = $108.5 billion adj. FCF
$108.5b / 0.05 FCF yield metric = $2,170 billion ($2.17 trillion) fair market value (FMV)
$2.17 tr FMV / $1.148 trillion mkt cap (Yahoo! Finance) = 1.89, i.e., 89% upside
Similarly, Yahoo! Finance has raised its analyst survey PT average to $1,513.11 from $1,501.98. Similarly, Barchart's PT is now $1,474.42 .
The bottom line is that MU stock is worth between 45% and 89% more, based on analysts' and my price targets.
This makes it ideal for short put strategies, as I described in my last Barchart article on Aug. 21. I suggested shorting the $900.00 and $880.00 put strike price contracts for $46.90 and $40.00 , respectively, for the period ending Sept. 25.
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