XRP Trades at $1.41 With a $1.43 Wall Overhead. Can It Break $1.50 Before the Fed Decides on September 16?

XRP must clear $1.43 resistance before the Fed's September 16 decision, with inflation at 3.7% and three hawkish FOMC dissents skewing risk toward a hike.

Markets are pricing failure on the September 15 Senate crypto cloture vote, a significant risk given Ripple's years-long push for regulatory clarity.

A Fed hike and failed Senate vote point to a $1.35 retest; only a daily close above $1.43 on volume makes $1.50 a live target.

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The XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) price trades at $1.41 as of September 6, and it hasn't closed above $1.43 since August 27 even after reaching $1.47 that day. The $1.43 level is where the first wave of August buyers gets back to breakeven, and $1.50 is the next round number above it.

The Senate votes on the CLARITY Act on September 15 and the Federal Reserve decides rates on September 16, 2026. So would XRP break $1.50 before then?

Resistance is a price where sell orders pile up because people who bought there want their money back, and $1.43 is that price for XRP. The XRP price reached $1.47 on August 27, $1.46 on September 4 and $1.43 on September 5, and closed every one of those days between $1.35 and $1.42. Buyers keep pushing it above $1.43 and sellers keep pushing it back.

The $1.43 sellers come from the August spike. XRP climbed from $0.99 on August 11 to $1.70 on August 22, so many of the people who bought in those eleven days paid more than $1.43 and only break even there or higher. XRP is up 39% in the 30 days to September 6 and still down 23% from $1.84 on January 1, so even $1.50 would leave it below where it started the year.

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However, $1.50 is a harder level than $1.43, because more traders set their sell orders at round numbers.

Why the Fed Could Raise Rates on September 16

The Fed has held its rate at 3.50% to 3.75% since December 2025, and three of its twelve voting members wanted to raise it at the July meeting. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan each voted for a quarter-point hike on July 29, the first time three members had dissented in the same direction since 2016. In June, nine Fed officials projected at least one rate increase before the end of 2026.