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Breaking Down MLB World Series 2026 Odds For Final 8 Teams

If you enjoyed the appetizer, it's time for the two best National League and American League teams to return from first-round byes and join in on the playoff action.

· 1,733 words

If you enjoyed the appetizer, it's time for the two best National League and American League teams to return from first-round byes and join in on the playoff action.

That quartet of clubs are the 98-64 Tampa Bay Rays, 85-77 Cleveland Guardians, 103-59 Milwaukee Brewers and 100-62 Los Angeles Dodgers.

Before the four divisional series begin, let's take a look at the odds for the final eight MLB teams standing during the 2026 season.

A magical season for the White Sox continued with a two-game sweep of the Houston Astros in the ALWCS, with Chase Meidroth driving in four runs in the pair of Chicago victories.

Considering they lost 121 games just two seasons ago, the White Sox have been playing with house money for a long time now. This offense has enough talent to have staying power, both in this postseason and moving forward. In addition to Meidroth, there's quite a bit to like about Miguel Vargas, Tristan Peters and Munetaka Murakami, among others.

It's fair to wonder if the White Sox will be able to compete with the starting pitching that the Guardians have, but they've already done quite a bit that wasn't expected of them in 2026, so you can't count out Will Veneable's squad.

Even though they only won 85 games, the Guardians not only captured the AL Central title, but earned a first-round bye in what was a historically-weak junior circuit. There's no reason to think Stephen Vogt's club couldn't wind up in the World Series.

Parker Messick and Gavin Williams are a strong one-two punch in the starting rotation, while some combination of Tanner Bibee, Joey Cantillo and Foster Griffin could give the Guards one of the deeper rotations in the postseason. And if the Guardians starter hands the ball off with the lead, there's a good chance that a bullpen led by Cade Smith, Hunter Gaddis, Erik Sabrowski and Tim Herrin isn't going to give it up.

The biggest question for the Guardians will be their offense. Steven Kwan had a resurgence after the All-Star Break, batting .353 in the second half. However, José Ramírez posted just a .508 OPS in September, not looking all the way back from a left hamate injury. Cleveland is going to need the six-time Silver Slugger Award to heat up in the postseason if they're going to make a run.

The Padres parlayed an 18-6 month of September into a pretty dominant two-game sweep of the Chicago Cubs in the NLWCS. Will they be able to stay hot against the Brewers—who won a franchise-record 103 games during the regular season—in the NLDS?

San Diego will have their work cut out with likely NL Cy Young Award winner Jacob Misiorowski in Game 1, but there's reason to think this group will present a tough test for Milwaukee's pitching staff. Fernando Tatis Jr. posted a .996 OPS in the second half of the season, while Jackson Merrill wasn't too far behind at .909. Future Hall of Famer Manny Machado didn't have a good season by his standards, but it's encouraging that he went 3-for-7 with a home run in San Diego's sweep of Chicago.

It remains fair to wonder whether the Padres have the starting pitching depth behind Michael King to make a deep playoff run. But they have about as good of a bullpen as any team in recent memory, meaning if you aren't ahead of the Padres after five innings, it's going to be hard to beat Mason Miller, Adrián Morejón and company.

Every MLB Team's Biggest Surprise and Disappointment ⚾

For the second season in a row, the Brewers led baseball in wins. This year, they set a new high watermark for the franchise, winning 103 regular season games. But with continued success, just getting to the postseason is no longer good enough for Pat Murphy's squad.

Jacob Misiorowski was the best pitcher in baseball this year, with the likely NL Cy Young Award winner lead ing all MLB starters in ERA (1.80), ERA+ (232), FIP (2.17), WHIP (0.802), K/9 (13.0) and strikeouts (252). It would be easy to think this is just the beginning of a legendary career for the 24-year-old, but he averaged 100.6 mph on his fastball this season. Who knows how long his peak will be, and whether he'll remain in Milwaukee for all of it. The Brewers need to strike while the iron is hot with Misiorowski.

There's also reason to be urgent in the lineup. 2027 will be a contract year for catcher William Contreras, and if recent history is any indication, the Brewers will consider trading him in the offseason. Jake Bauers will be a free agent after a career-year that saw him hit 26 homers, drive in 86 runs and post an .874 OPS.

Is there enough starting pitching after Misiorowski? Can Trevor Megill rebound from a tough September? We're going to start to find out Saturday, with the Brewers hosting the red-hot San Diego Padres. Anything less than the franchise's first World Series appearance since 1982 will be a disappointing outcome.

The Rays have been to the World Series twice in franchise history (2008 and 2020). In such a weak AL, there's no reason that this shouldn't be the third time, and that this time Kevin Cash's squad couldn't get over the hump and win the first title in club history.

Tampa Bay's offense is led by Junior Caminero, who swatted 42 homers and drove in 101 runs this year. AL hits leader Yandy Díaz and Jonathan Aranda give the Rays a strong big three in their lineup.

The starting rotation could prove to be an even bigger strength. Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA), Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA) and Griffin Jax (8-10, 3.53 ERA) were already a strong trio in the rotation. Freddy Peralta's resurgence in September—a month where he posted a 0.96 ERA across five starts—might be a gamechanger that allows Cash to utilize a starter or two out of the bullpen, particularly in a short series.

And if the Rays have a lead heading into the ninth, Bryan Baker—41 saves, 1.44 ERA over 65 games—is probably going to shut the door.

It would hardly be a shock if the Rays hang a pennant or two this October.

The Yankees made quick work of the Boston Red Sox in the ALWCS, with Cam Schlittler (10 strikeouts over 6.1 innings pitched in Game 1), Ben Rice (two homers, six RBI) and Cody Bellinger (one homer, four RBI) all having big series.

Still, to defeat the Rays and have a chance to win their first World Series title since 2009, the Yankees are going to need Aaron Judge to return. The three-time AL MVP was left off the ALWCS as he battled a right calf strain. Whether Judge—who was limited to just 66 games this season—can play or not may determine the outcome of this series:

Also worth watching is what the Yankees get out of starters not named Schlittler, who is expected to start Game 2. Former AL Cy Young Award winner Gerrit Cole was good, but not great in his first season back from Tommy John surgery, as he posted a 3.61 ERA and 3.93 FIP in 22 starts. Meanwhile, Max Fried has a 5.03 ERA across 82.1 innings pitched, so he has to get the monkey off his back a bit.

The AL is as wide open as it's ever been, which has led to a sense for much of the year that the Yankees will ultimately return to the World Series for the second time in three years. But there's a lot that needs to come together for Aaron Boone's squad.

Particularly if Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley are going to play big roles like they did in a three-game NLWCS win over the Philadelphia Phillies , the Braves have the offense to make a deep playoff run.

Between Matt Olson, Drake Baldwin, Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II, the Braves lineup is already pretty imposing. It's a great sign that Albies and Riley each delivered big hits in the NLWCS after disappointing regular seasons.

Atlanta is probably going to need to outhit the Los Angeles Dodgers—and any other future opponents—to win a title this year. Future Hall of Famer Chris Sale remains at the height of his powers, but he's only one guy. Tyler Mahle has been tremendous since being acquired from the San Francisco Giants midseason, although he felt an abdominal pull before making a strong Game 2 outing, so his health is worth monitoring.

In the bullpen, Raisel Iglesias and Didier Fuentes are a strong one-two punch, but the Braves will need a rebound from Dillon Lee, who gave up back-to-back homers to Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper in Game 2. Also, Robert Suarez is likely going to need to play a bigger role for the Braves than he did in their opening postseason series.

The Dodgers are looking to become the first team to win three World Series titles in a row since the Yankees did it from 1998-2000. They'll enter their NLDS matchup with the Braves favored to win it all again.

Two-time defending AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal is now at the forefront of a rotation that includes reigning World Series MVP Yoshinobu Yamamoto, two-time Cy Young Award winner Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow. Last year, the rotation for the Dodgers came together in a manner that allowed them to win the World Series without much of a bullpen, because their starters both pitched deep into games and took down some relief innings. Will that happen again in 2026?

Four-time MVP Shohei Ohtani won't pitch, but he'll still be at DH, looking to maintain the .940 career postseason OPS he has. Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts, Kyle Tucker, Max Muncy, Teoscar Hernández, Will Smith and Miguel Rojas are among the other players on Dave Roberts' roster with a history of big hits in the postseason. And don't forget, this is the time of the year where Kiké Hernández becomes Barry Bonds.

When you look at the roster, it's hard to pick anyone over the Dodgers. But they learned last year just how hard it is to repeat, and three-peating is even more difficult. Recent history suggests that the best time to knock the Dodgers off is in the NLDS when they are a little rusty after the bye.

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Saturday, October 3, 2026

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