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Thursday, September 24, 2026

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Baseball

1 Stat That Defines Every MLB Team's 2026 Season

No sport has a deeper well of available statistics than baseball. That provides a unique opportunity to tell the story of a team's entire season with one piece of statistical evidence in a way that might not be possible in other sports.

· 2,536 words

No sport has a deeper well of available statistics than baseball. That provides a unique opportunity to tell the story of a team's entire season with one piece of statistical evidence in a way that might not be possible in other sports.

That's exactly what we set out to do here. The range of statistical analysis covers everything from individual performance to season-long trends to one hot or cold streak that ultimately reshaped a club's entire 2026 trajectory.

As the regular season winds down, let's sum up the 2026 campaign of all 30 MLB teams with one defining stat.

The Stat: 162 days since they were last above .500

After a busy offseason of retooling the pitching staff and signing Pete Alonso, the Orioles entered the season hoping to rebound from a disappointing 2025. They went 9-7 over their first 16 games to hold a share of the AL East lead, but they lost their next two games. April 14 now stands as the last day they were above the .500 mark this year.

The Stat: 15.6 WAR combined from four marquee offseason additions

The Red Sox absolutely nailed their offseason, adding Sonny Gray (28 GS, 2.82 ERA, 163.0 IP, 4.0 WAR) and Ranger Suarez (27 GS, 3.27 ERA, 143.1 IP, 2.5 WAR) to the rotation, while Willson Contreras (154 OPS+, 27 HR, 4.6 WAR) and Caleb Durbin (105 OPS+, 39 XBH, 20 SB, 4.5 WAR) were brought aboard to stabilize the infield. Without the contributions of those four players, this might not be a playoff team.

The last time Aaron Judge missed significant time in 2023, the Yankees went 57-49 (.538) with him in the lineup, compared to 25-31 (.446) without him. They finished 82-80 and missed the postseason. This year's group has no doubt missed having his superstar bat in the middle of the lineup, but they have done a far better job weathering the storm of his absence.

After spending the 2025 season transplanted to Steinbrenner Field while repairs were made to Tropicana Field, the Rays have returned home this year in dominant fashion. Their 55-26 home record is the best in baseball. Those 55 wins also represent the most in a single season at The Trop. Clinching the best record in the AL on Tuesday could be huge for their October outlook.

The Stat: 11th in HR in 2025 (191), 28th in HR in 2026 (149)

The Blue Jays had one of the most potent offenses in baseball a year ago, especially in October when they slugged 28 home runs in 18 games and posted an .823 OPS as a team en route to the World Series. This year, that power production has dried up in shocking fashion, as their 149 home runs are tied for last in the majors. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has just nine long balls in 596 plate appearances. He didn't hit his first home run at the Rogers Centre until Sept. 13.

The Stat: 74 consecutive days in first place before Sept. 16 loss

The White Sox's resurgence was one of the biggest storylines of the season for months while they sat atop the AL Central, but a 5-12 stretch in late August and early September culminated in surrendering their division lead following a loss to the Guardians on Sept. 16. They are still in the projected playoff picture, but the late collapse is threatening to overtake the return to relevance as the story of the season.

The Stat: 12.1 WAR from Parker Messick, Chase DeLauter and Travis Bazzana

Cheap, controllable homegrown talent is the lifeblood of the Cleveland organization, given their preference to steer clear of high-priced free-agent signings or blockbuster trades. That makes the performance of the rookie trio of Parker Messick (31 GS, 2.55 ERA, 183.1 IP, 6.2 WAR), Chase DeLauter (133 OPS+, 47 XBH, 3.5 WAR) and Travis Bazzana (110 OPS+, 37 XBH, 2.4 WAR) one of the biggest reasons they are battling for a division title.

Remove a disastrous month of May and the Tigers have gone 68-62 the rest of the season. That is good for a .523 winning percentage. To put that into perspective, the Guardians currently sit atop the AL Central standings with a .522 winning percentage. One brutal month that included eight straight series losses was enough to completely derail Detroit's entire season.

The Stat: 6.5 WAR for Bobby Witt Jr., 20.0 WAR for 52 other Royals players

The Royals have a true superstar and face of the franchise in Bobby Witt Jr., but there is simply not enough impact talent around him for the team to be competitive, even in the wide-open AL Central. He has accounted for 24.5 percent of the team's overall WAR this year. If you add Michael Wacha (4.3) to the equation, those two represent more than 40 percent of the total tally.

The Stat: 7-4 record immediately before the trade deadline

It might sound like an insignificant 11-game stretch in the grand scheme of things, but it was enough to convince the Twins to pivot away from selling Ryan Jeffers and others at the deadline. Instead, they added Jeff Hoffman, A.J. Minter and Dean Kremer. They are 18-27 since the trade deadline, battling for third place in the AL Central standings rather than a playoff spot.

The Stat: 437 total games played by their Opening Day Nos. 1-5 hitters

On paper, it looked like the Athletics might quietly have one of the best offenses in baseball in 2026, with an outside shot at wild-card contention if the pitching staff could pull its weight. Instead, Nick Kurtz (99 G), Shea Langeliers (101 G), Tyler Soderstrom (109 G), Brent Rooker (48 G) and Jacob Wilson (80 G) have all missed significant time. They have tumbled from 12th to 21st in the majors in runs scored.

The Stat: .232/.298/.389 slash line from Astros hitters other than Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez is challenging for the AL Triple Crown, hitting .314 with 41 home runs and 102 RBI. He is the heavy favorite for AL MVP honors even as the Astros fight for their playoff lives. One of the biggest reasons they are still on the bubble, hovering around the .500 mark, is the complete lack of offensive consistency around Alvarez. A 687 OPS from the rest of the team tells the story.

The Stat: .382 winning percentage, worst in franchise history

The Angels will finish with a losing record for the 11th consecutive season, so the fact that this year's team is on track to finish with the worst winning percentage in franchise history perfectly illustrates how little progress has been made in righting the ship in more than a decade of futility. They need to go 4-1 over their last five games to finish ahead of the 2024 team that finished 63-99.

The Mariners finished 10th in OPS last season when they came one win away from reaching the World Series. With Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena and a full season of Josh Naylor and newcomer Brendan Donovan, the offense looked even better entering the 2026 season. Instead, Raleigh and Naylor have both regressed. Rodríguez is having the worst season of his career, while Donovan has played 39 games.

The Stat: 67.7% save percentage, 9th in MLB

If there was one weakness to circle on the Rangers roster entering the season, it was the bullpen, which had a glaring lack of proven late-inning options anchoring the relief corps. Thanks in large part to an All-Star campaign from starter-turned-reliever Jacob Latz (56 G, 30/34 SV, 2.08 ERA), nailing down victories has actually been a strength, while Jakob Junis and Tyler Alexander have been rock-solid in setup roles.

The Stat: 3.76 SP ERA, 6th in MLB / 3rd in NL

With Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach, Hurston Waldrep and AJ Smith-Shawver all on the injured list at the start of the year, a lack of consistent starting pitching behind ace Chris Sale looked like it would derail the 2026 Braves. Instead, they have one of the best rotations in baseball, with Grant Holmes (29 GS, 3.47 ERA, 147.2 IP), Martín Pérez (26 GS, 3.04 ERA, 142.0 IP) and deadline pickup Tyler Mahle (8 GS, 1.28 ERA, 49.1 IP) stepping up big.

The Stat: 20-6 record in June, 21-33 in May and July

A 77-80 record has been enough for the Marlins to hang around on the fringe of contention for much of the year, but a fantastic June has largely propped up their season. While the Detroit Tigers' season imploded with an ugly May, the Marlins have looked more competitive than they actually are throughout the second half, thanks to that 20-6 performance in June.

The Stat: -0.6 combined WAR from six marquee offseason additions

The Mets added Bo Bichette, Marcus Semien, Jorge Polanco, Luis Robert Jr., Freddy Peralta and Devin Williams to the roster during the offseason in their latest attempt to throw money at the problem. That group has combined for negative-0.6 WAR. It's not one bad performance dragging the group down. Bichette is the "leader" with 0.7 WAR while pulling in a $42 million salary.

The Stat: 5.8 WAR from hitters (30th in MLB), 29.7 WAR from pitchers (1st in MLB)

Outside of Bryce Harper (132 OPS+, 3.2 WAR) and Kyle Schwarber (128 OPS+, 2.7 WAR), no other Phillies regular has a WAR higher than 1.2 or an OPS+ higher than 91. Meanwhile, Cristopher Sanchez (7.7 WAR), Jesus Luzardo (6.4 WAR) and Zack Wheeler (5.6 WAR) all rank among the top 10 starters in WAR, while Aaron Nola (3.2 WAR) and Jhoan Duran (3.2 WAR) are also having strong seasons. Can pitching carry them in October?

The Stat: 803 runs scored (3rd in MLB), 796 runs allowed (27th in MLB)

Led by 30-homer seasons from James Wood and CJ Abrams, along with the quietly excellent Daylen Lile, the Nationals have had one of baseball's highest scoring offenses all season. However, they have not had the pitching to match, especially in the bullpen where their 42 blown saves are 10 more than any other team.

The Stat: No. 1 offense, No. 1 defense, No. 29 pitching staff

According to FanGraphs, the Cubs lead the majors in position-player WAR (37.0), the all-encompassing offensive value metric Off (113.6) and the defensive equivalent Def (48.1). However, they are all the way down at 29th in pitcher WAR (5.4), ahead of only the Nationals (5.2). They have managed to navigate those shortcomings on the mound during the regular season, but the lights tend to shine brighter on pitching issues in October.

The Stat: .218 AVG with RISP, worst in MLB

The Reds' .218 average with runners in scoring position is not only the worst in the majors, but it's miles behind the Angels (.234) and Mariners (.233), who rank 28th and 29th in that category. The arc of their season shifted during an eight-game losing streak at the beginning of May, but a season-long struggle to deliver in the clutch is why they have been unable to get the train back on the tracks.

The Stat: 82-45 record since May 1, best in MLB

The Brewers were completely ordinary at 16-14 through their first 30 games, putting them in fourth place in the NL Central standings entering May. Since then, they have been the best team in baseball, logging a .646 winning percentage that would translate to 105 wins over a full season. Even with the slow start, their 98 wins are already a franchise record.

The Stat: 30th to 5th in runs scored, 7th to 17th in ERA

The Pirates set out to overhaul the league's worst offense this past offseason, with Brandon Lowe and Ryan O'Hearn among their notable additions, alongside the impending arrival of uber-prospect Konnor Griffin. The offensive turnaround has been a glowing success, but the pitching staff that was supposed to be the foundation of what they are building has regressed significantly, capping them at a modest improvement over last year's 71-91 finish.

The Stat: 17.2 WAR from young offensive core

The Cardinals exceeded expectations for several months, but 2026 still ultimately served as a rebuilding year. The biggest positive takeaway has been the formation of a legitimate offensive core. Jordan Walker (127 OPS+, 28 HR, 100 RBI, 3.5 WAR) and Alec Burleson (130 OPS+, 23 HR, 111 RBI) have been a dynamic one-two punch in the middle of the lineup. The middle infield tandem of JJ Wetherholt (4.6 WAR) and Masyn Winn (2.8 WAR) has been rock solid, while Iván Herrera (3.0 WAR) earned his first All-Star selection.

The Stat: 83 wins, more than every AL Central and AL West team, 7th in NL

It's a great year to be an AL team on the wild-card bubble, as the 81-win White Sox currently hold the No. 3 spot in the standings, while the 78-win Rangers are also still alive. The D-backs have more wins than every AL Central and AL West team right now, but are staring up at a four-game deficit in the wild-card race and likely watching the postseason from home.

The Stat: 5th team in MLB history with four straight 100-loss seasons

Only five times in MLB history has a team lost 100 games in four consecutive seasons. The last time it happened was the 1962-65 Mets. They were in their first four years as an expansion team. The Rockies seem perfectly content to let the futility wash over them, with no real push to rebuild or retool, even though they haven't won a playoff game since 2009.

The Stat: 14 different starting pitchers, NL-best 3.46 SP ERA

In an ideal world, the Dodgers would get more than a combined 34 starts and 192 innings out of Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow and Shohei Ohtani, but that hasn't stopped them from posting the best starters' ERA in the NL. They faced a Padres team fighting for playoff position with ace Michael King on the mound on Tuesday and blanked them 7-0 behind a Brock Stewart-led bullpen game that featured eight different pitchers.

Last season, the Guardians were the team that got hot when it mattered most, using a 20-7 record in September to erase a 10.5-game deficit in the AL Central standings and win the division. The Padres are not going to overtake the Dodgers, but they were neck and neck with the D-backs for the No. 3 wild-card spot entering the season's final month. They are now vying for a chance to play host in the Wild Card Round.

The Stat: 0/10 Opening Day starters currently on the active roster

Here's the Giants' Opening Day lineup, and where they are now:

2B Luis Arraez — traded to PHI 3B Matt Chapman — 60-day IL since Aug. 11 DH Rafael Devers — 60-day IL since Sept. 15 SS Willy Adames — 10-day IL since Aug. 23 RF Jung Hoo Lee — 10-day IL since Sept. 20 LF Heliot Ramos — traded to NYY 1B Casey Schmitt — 60-day IL since July 27 C Patrick Bailey — traded to CLE CF Harrison Bader — 60-day IL since May 29 SP Logan Webb — 15-day IL since Sept. 13

That's how a season that began with some legitimate optimism devolves into a 93-loss disaster.

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