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What our Decision Desk poll says about Trump ahead of the midterms

President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at a second-term low. Democrats hope that means they’ll win control of Congress.

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People arrive at a polling location on the first day of early voting in Texas for the midterm elections, at the West Gray Metropolitan Multiservice Center in Houston, Texas, on Oct. 19, 2026.
People arrive at a polling location on the first day of early voting in Texas for the midterm elections, at the West Gray Metropolitan Multiservice Center in Houston, Texas, on Oct. 19, 2026.

Welcome to the daily Inside Scoop newsletter. President Donald Trump’s approval rating has taken a nosedive. It’s at 34% among all adults, according to a new NBC News Decision Desk poll. So could this affect who wins control of Congress? Democrats are hoping so. Chief data analyst Steve Kornacki tells us what the numbers say about how election night may go. Plus, foreign correspondent Raf Sanchez takes us into the violent protests gripping France. Let’s get into it. The United States is on the wrong track, according to 71% of American adults. Trump’s job approval rating is at a second-term low of 34% among adults, with disapproval rising to 66%. And 55% of self-identified registered voters would vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district.

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Monday, October 19, 2026

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