Same price, less product: How to spot shrinkflation before you buy
Shrinkflation happens when companies reduce the size of their products without lowering prices. Here's how to spot shrinkflation and shop smarter.
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Manufacturers are quietly reducing package sizes without lowering prices to match. Known as "shrinkflation," this trend means you could be paying more for less — even when the sticker price hasn't changed.
Between 2019 and 2024, for example, shrinking package sizes accounted for 3 percentage points of inflation in household paper products, 2.6 percentage points in snacks, and 2.3 percentage points in candy and chewing gum, according to a 2025 report from the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO).
Here's how shrinkflation works, and how to fight back.
Shrinkflation is when a company reduces the size or amount of its product but continues charging the same price (or even raises it).
For example, say your favorite brand of cereal costs $4.99 for an 18-ounce box. The manufacturer reduces the box to 16 ounces but continues charging $4.99. Although the price hasn't changed, you're now paying about 12.5% more per ounce.
According to the GAO, some of the most common products affected by shrinkflation include paper towels, toilet paper, cereal, coffee, laundry detergent, toothpaste, and over-the-counter pain-relief medications.
The term "shrinkflation" is a play on the concept of inflation, but these aren't exactly the same thing.
Inflation is the sustained increase in prices for goods and services over time. In other words, you pay more for the same amount of a product as time goes on.
Shrinkflation is essentially a less obvious form of inflation. It occurs when manufacturers reduce the size or quantity of a product without proportionally lowering its price. This could look like fewer snacks in a multipack or more empty space inside a package.
Here's another example: Consider a bag of coffee that originally costs $10 for 20 ounces:
Inflation: The price increases to $12, but the bag still contains 20 ounces. You're now paying 60 cents per ounce instead of 50 cents.
Shrinkflation: The price stays at $10, but the bag shrinks to 16 ounces. You're now paying 62.5 cents per ounce instead of 50 cents.
In both cases, you end up paying more per ounce. However, shrinkflation can be harder to spot because the sticker price hasn't changed.
Further, experts say the effects of shrinkflation can disproportionately impact the most vulnerable shoppers. That's because shrinkflation commonly occurs with food-at-home staples (think: cereal, bread, eggs, milk, snacks). And those categories tend to make up a larger share of overall spending in lower-income households compared to higher-income households, according to Paul Stanley, Senior Economist at Numerator. "Based on this, shrinkflation's impact is often felt more by budget-constrained households," he said.
Customers are more likely to notice a price hike from their favorite brand than they are to notice a difference in quantity or units. In some cases, a shopper might see a price hike and decide to switch to a cheaper alternative or avoid purchasing that product altogether, which results in a lost sale for the company.
Instead, manufacturers reduce the size of the packaging — cutting their manufacturing costs in a way that can go virtually unnoticed by consumers — while still capturing sales.
"Brands often do this to diminish the public scrutiny that often comes with raising prices," Stanley said. "A smaller box is a quieter way to offset costs when inflation (and other macroeconomic factors) impact their bottom line." He added that it can also be simpler solution; adjusting sizing is a quick manufacturing change, while a price increase usually requires renegotiating with retailers.
How to keep shrinkflation from hurting your wallet
There is no federal mandate that requires manufacturers to be transparent about decreases in product sizes. However, several measures have been taken to promote pricing transparency.
Manufacturers commonly include product quantity information on their labels, and several states have implemented mandatory rules that require retailers to display unit pricing.
However, consumers still bear the bulk of the responsibility for spotting and navigating shrinkflation.
A few easy ways to identify shrinkflation at the grocery store and make sure you're getting the best value include:
Don't throw an item into your shopping cart based on the sticker price alone. Make sure you consider the cost-per-unit — AKA the cost per ounce, pound, or individual item — to determine which product actually offers the best value.
If your grocery store doesn't display unit prices, you can calculate it by dividing the total price by the quantity. For example, for a 16-ounce can of soup that costs $1.75, the unit price would be about 11 cents per ounce.
It's easy to overlook changes in the products you regularly purchase, especially when the packaging looks nearly identical. So, before repurchasing your household staples, take a moment to look for subtle changes in the sizing, such as fewer items in a multipack or fewer servings per package.
If you're unsure whether the packaging size has changed recently, you can compare the current size with previous purchases using old receipts or online order histories.
It's common for shoppers to stay loyal to a particular brand they like, but neglecting to explore alternative options could be driving up your grocery bill. According to Consumer Reports, "private label brands," or store brands, typically cost 25% to 30% less than their name-brand counterparts.
Of course, it's still important to compare per-unit prices even for generic brands — store brands aren't automatically the cheapest option.
Buying certain items in bulk can lower their per-unit price. For example, purchasing a 48-ounce container of laundry detergent may cost less per ounce than buying three 16-ounce bottles.
If you're worried about products going bad before you can use them up, focus on buying bulk non-perishables such as paper towels, toilet paper, and shelf-stable foods and condiments.
You might also consider becoming a member of a wholesale club, which typically offers the lowest per-unit prices when buying in bulk. Depending on your shopping habits, the potential savings can outweigh the cost of a membership.
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