Why souring sentiment on CoreWeave should matter to investors
Breaking down what's happening to CoreWeave in two specific callouts.
While many have spent the better part of a month waxing poetic about the cool factor of Meta's ( META ) Muse AI agent and foaming at the mouth to get the latest read on Anthropic's ( ANTH.PVT ) financials ( they were OK ), they have forgotten about the plumbing of the AI ecosystem.
And most importantly, how one little shift in thinking could unsettle said plumbing — sort of like if you try to flush a sneaker down the toilet.
I want to break down what's happening to CoreWeave ( CRWV ) in two specific callouts.
A lot of information is floating around on X and on Wall Street about what's going on here and what's not, and it's important you understand the connections.
Remember, the AI trade is very intertwined. How the market perceives the health of CoreWeave matters to how the market perceives the future financial potential of everyone from Meta to Micron ( MU ) to Sandisk ( SNDK ) and even to Amazon ( AMZN ).
I would add that perception is especially important now as hyperscalers are set to report earnings and find new sources of debt to fund their AI build-outs.
The first part is: What the hell is, in fact, going on?
CoreWeave's stock has been roasted this week , bringing its six-month plunge to 46%.
First, CoreWeave's corporate bonds across maturities continued to be dumped amid fears of an AI slowdown and its implications for the company's precarious balance sheet.
The rise in yields on CoreWeave's bonds even spurred Elon Musk to post "Yikes" on X in response to a post by venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya. You never want to see Musk say "yikes" on anything related to CoreWeave — or anything more broadly!
And second, in a new report, Gartner forecast that by 2030, "cost pressure and a lack of a differentiating business model will force over 80% of neocloud providers to cease independent operations."
CoreWeave is a neocloud. The report was essentially akin to yelling "fire" in a crowded theater.
The company sought to push back against the bears, telling me in a statement that it is confident in its funding.
CoreWeave was defended by several Wall Street firms — one being longtime tech analyst Tal Liani at BofA .
"This [move in CRWV] is more sentiment driven. This is not about fundamentals. This is not about them not being able to pay for the debt, et cetera. This is more sentiment driven and the sentiment needs to change. And what's going to happen is, as always, there's going to be a period of concern. And then the fundamentals will kick in, meaning revenues, revenue growth," Liani told me on Sozzi Unleashed , saying he stands by his aggressive $140 price target on the stock.
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