Goldman Spots Breakout Signal for Micron, SanDisk Stocks
Two memory stocks may finally be escaping their summer slump
Goldman Sachs sees an emerging breakout setup across memory stocks, with Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) and SanDisk ( NASDAQ:SNDK ) breaking above summer downtrends.
Goldman managing director Lee Coppersmith highlighted similar chart patterns in Micron, SanDisk, the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) and Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM). The moves remain early, but each is pushing above recent consolidation.
The technical improvement arrives as the broader AI trade improves. Hedge-fund exposure remains light, semiconductor volatility has fallen sharply and catalysts could draw investors back into the group.
Goldman's prime-brokerage data place gross leverage among U.S. fundamental long-short hedge funds in the 27th percentile during the past year. Net leverage stands in only the fourth percentile.
Positioning has begun rebuilding but remains substantially lighter than two months ago. That leaves potential buying power available if improving price action forces underinvested funds to chase the rally.
Why Goldman's Memory-Stock Signal Matters
The options market has also reset. Semiconductor implied volatility, measured by the CBOE Semiconductor ETF Volatility Index, dropped from approximately 65 in July to 36, nearly halving.
Lower volatility suggests investors are pricing a narrower range of outcomes. It can support risk-taking, although it also means traders may be less protected against an unexpected reversal.
Goldman's technology long-short momentum pair has fallen approximately 50% from its late-June high, even after rebounding nearly 7% on Friday. Coppersmith said that reset compressed expectations without producing a significant bearish tilt.
South Korea presents another source of potential demand. Corporate buybacks accounted for all positive equity flows during the past four weeks, while other investors remained net sellers. Broader participation could therefore extend the move.
For Micron and SanDisk investors, the next test is confirmation. Sustained breakouts, stronger volume and wider investor participation would strengthen Goldman's case. A quick return below summer resistance would suggest another false start rather than a durable memory-stock recovery.
Topics in this story
Gathered from external sources. Rights to this text belong to whoever originally published it.