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Mortgage rates surge once again

Welcome to The Hill’s Business & Economy newsletter {beacon} Business & Economy Business & Economy The Big Story Mortgage rates spike again to 7.28 percent The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 7.28 percent this week, worsening conditions for prospective homebuyers. © Keith Srakocic, Associated Press The average 30-year mortgage rate increased by…

· 703 words· updated October 1, 2026 at 04:47 PM
A sign is displayed outside a home for sale on May 12, 2026, in Portland, Ore.
A sign is displayed outside a home for sale on May 12, 2026, in Portland, Ore.

Mortgage rates spike again to 7.28 percent

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 7.28 percent this week, worsening conditions for prospective homebuyers.

The average 30-year mortgage rate increased by a quarter of a percentage point from last week, according to data released Thursday by Freddie Mac.

This marks the sixth consecutive weekly rise, and the largest week-to-week increase since late September 2022 — when the average rate spiked from 6.29 percent to 6.7 percent.

For the week ending on Feb. 26, right before the U.S. and Israel launched the war with Iran, the average 30-year mortgage rate was 5.98 percent .

The 30-year mortgage rate tracks closely with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, which hit a during intraday trading Thursday. The note topped 5.34 percent in the morning but has since sunk down and is trading at about 5.24 percent as of the late afternoon.

Bond yields have spiked due to economic uncertainty driven by the Iran war and mounting government debt. The U.S. national debt is roughly $40.1 trillion .

The average 30-year mortgage rate, as reported by Freddie Mac, exceeded 7 percent last week for the first time since the week ending on Jan. 16, 2025, days before President Trump returned to office.

Persistent inflation, which was 3.4 percent in August , as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, has handed Trump and the GOP a tough set of conditions heading into the midterms.

Analysts do not expect mortgage rates to lower anytime soon, either. Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, said last month Americans can expect 7 percent mortgage rates as the “new normal.”

Yun added in a statement, “Mortgage rates can come down once oil prices retreat and with a credible plan to reduce the budget deficit.”

As for the shorter-term 15-year mortgage, the average rate this week was 6.6 percent , up from 6.42 percent last week and 5.44 percent in late February, Freddie Mac reported.

Welcome to The Hill’s Business & Economy newsletter , I’m Max Rego — covering the intersection of Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue.

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Key business and economic news with implications this week and beyond:

FTC launches probe into OpenAI, Anthropic over model consumer risks

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has opened an investigation into artificial intelligence firms OpenAI and Anthropic over the potential dangers their models pose to consumers.

Federal Reserve vice chair says it ‘may take more time’ before hiking rates again

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said Thursday the central bank will wait to evaluate incoming economic data before deciding whether to hike interest rates again.

GOP wrestles with rising data center backlash weeks before midterms

Republicans are growing increasingly worried that data centers are a liability in the midterms, as concerns over higher power bills tied to the facilities turn into a pocketbook issue for voters.

Fed’s Warsh seeks to avoid forward guidance. His colleagues aren’t listening

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has sought to move the central bank away from forecasting its policy decisions during his four-plus months in charge. But after the Fed raised interest rates earlier this month, multiple officials have indicated future hikes are coming.

Business and economic news we’ve flagged from other outlets:

Why Powell is likely to stick around at the Fed ( Politico )

Florida Democrat is latest candidate to unveil anticorruption plan ( Roll Call )

A federal judge ruled Wednesday that two police officers who defended the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, have no standing to sue over their names — and those of other first responders — not appearing on a plaque commemorating law enforcement’s response to the attack. Read more

President Trump said in an interview published Thursday that he has not ruled out invoking the Insurrection Act or declaring a national emergency around the midterm elections in November. Read more

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Thursday, October 1, 2026

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