This Dividend King Just Offered a Buy-the-Dip Opportunity
Deal skepticism and litigation fears still weigh on this consumer staples stalwart.
With 55 years of consecutive dividend growth, Kimberly-Clark (NASDAQ: KMB) is one of the Dividend Kings . Despite this distinction, bearish sentiment persists for this consumer staples stock.
Why? Blame it on its pending acquisition of Kenvue (NYSE: KVUE). This deal, which adds brands like Tylenol and Band-Aid to Kimberly-Clark's existing portfolio of brands like Kleenex and Huggies, seems on paper to be a great opportunity for cost and growth synergies, but concerns about possible litigation risks persist.
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Kimberly-Clark, the Kenvue deal, and the market's response
When Kimberly-Clark first announced the Kenvue deal last November, shares fell 15% immediately. By the spring, the stock had fallen more than 20% below pre-announcement levels. Yet while it's recovered since then, Kimberly-Clark remains down by around 8.1%.
The proposed merger is currently under regulatory review, but so far the deal appears set to close on schedule, sometime between now and the end of 2026. Mixed views notwithstanding, there are strong reasons for investors to be excited about this deal, rather than continuing to treat it as a great uncertainty.
Debunking the fear, uncertainty, and doubt
Deal skeptics have two key issues with the proposed merger. First, they believe that buying Kenvue, which was arguably spun off from Johnson & Johnson due to its sluggish growth, will result in an even larger slow-growing company. Second, there's the whole issue regarding allegations that Tylenol can cause autism and ADHD.
If lawsuits related to this prove successful, it could saddle Kimberly-Clark with significant liabilities. That said, consider these counterpoints. First, even partially hitting the $2.1 billion in projected annual cost and revenue synergies from the combination could significantly improve profitability.
Regarding litigation risks, consider that Kimberly-Clark was well aware of the legal risk related to Tylenol claims ahead of the deal. If profitability remains steady, or better yet, improves, Kimberly-Clark, which currently has a forward dividend yield of around 4.7%, will likely remain a Dividend King. Successful execution of the merger, coupled with better-than-feared litigation outcomes, could also bode well for the combined company's post-merger valuation.
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